Premier League betting preview: Bookies over-priced?

The Premier League enters into its 24th match-week on Saturday and there are some tasty prices to be had from my predictions below.

League leaders Chelsea host Arsenal in the early kick-off, and the Blues look a steal at almost evens to win the match. The Gunners have conceded 10 goals without reply at Stamford Bridge in recent terms, and their loss to Watford this week puts them in a dangerous mental place coming into this must-win match, and I cant foresee anything but a home win.

Chelsea have been in top form since their loss to the North-London side back in September, which forced them into a system change. That change has seen them propel from mid-table to lead the division by a huge nine points, and they have won every single home match in the league since the change. Anything close to evens is a steal in my opinion, and I will even be tempted to look at the Asian Handicap -1 markets also.

My next bet pick of the week comes from Everton, who host a struggling Bournemouth side in the 3PM kick-offs. The Cherries have lost five of their last six away fixtures, while the Merseyside club can boast a 4-0 win over Manchester City in their last home fixture, as well looking comfortably the seventh best side in the country this season.

The above double is my banker for the weekend, avoiding any short-priced calamities, but if you must try and bump up your accas, Tottenham and Manchester City SHOULD increase your pay-outs, but for the relative 1/4 (1.25) odds on offer, I will be giving those a miss. Watford on the other hand are just bigger than evens, and knowing Burnley are great at home, but terrible away, would be worth including if you must add to the double.

The weekend’s value pick has to be Hull City, who host Liverpool at the KC Stadium. The Tigers have looked impressively organised under new coach Marco Silva, while Liverpool have failed to pick up three points in 2017. Hull even managed to beat an in-form Manchester United side in the League Cup, and at 13/2 (7.5) they are simply too big not to nibble at.

What will you be backing this weekend?

Updated: February 3, 2017 — 1:51 am
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